Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Possible Overnight
Showers and thunderstorms are expected later this evening as a strong cold front approaches the tristate area. The potential will exist for some of these thunderstorms to become strong to severe, especially overnight, with dangerous winds and torrential downpours considered the greatest concern.
As outlined by the Storm Prediction Center, parts of the tristate area have been placed in an Enhanced Risk Zone for Severe Weather. In layman’s terms, this means that the area has a pretty good chance to see some strong to severe thunderstorms later tonight and into the early part of Monday morning. The concern they see with any thunderstorm that develops is strong, damaging winds, however, they will not rule out an isolated tornado or two.
As of this time, short-range model guidance shows an uptick in shower and thunderstorm activity this evening beginning after 8:00 pm or so. Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible through the early morning hours with the main threat for severe weather coming between 2:00 and 6:00 am as a squall line pushes east. The weather is likely to have an effect on tomorrow morning’s commute so please plan accordingly and prepare for roadway flooding in low-lying and poor drainage locations.