Overcast skies and warmer temperatures are expected throughout the tristate area today as a southerly flow increases ahead of our next weather system. Temperatures this afternoon are expected to warm well into the 60s for highs with southerly winds increasing as well with gusts in excess of 25 mph possible at times.
Showers and perhaps a few heavy thunderstorms are expected to move through the area later this evening and into early Saturday morning. Localized heavy downpours are possible with many locations generally seeing around half of an inch of rain when all is said and done. Look for winds to weaken Saturday morning as well immediately following the frontal passage.
Unfortunately, this is just the start of a rather unsettled period of the area. The frontal boundary that moves through overnight will slow down and weaken as it passes through the area. This should keep cloud cover and the chance for showers in the forecast through Sunday, especially across southern portions of the tristate area. Despite the unsettled weather, temperatures in our area will remain unseasonably warm with highs in the 70s on Saturday and 60s on Sunday.
A better chance for showers and thunderstorms will arrive late Sunday and into Monday as a stronger cold front moves through. The potential will exist for a period of heavy rain in our early, especially early Monday morning. At this time, showers are likely to linger into the first part of Monday with conditions improving late. Rainfall amounts associated with this frontal boundary may reach upwards of an inch or more.
Once we get past this stretch of unsettled weather our forecast will improve as high pressure returns to the area. Look for sunny skies and seasonal temperatures to be in the forecast beginning Tuesday and lasting through the latter part of the workweek before another rain of rain returns.